Who will be elected the Prime Minister of Sweden in the September general election?
Basic
7
Ṁ475
resolved Sep 16
100%15%
Ulf Kristersson (Moderate)
4%Other
79%
Magdalena Andersson (social Democrat)
3%
Jimmie Åkesson (Sweden Democrat)
For a response to be valid it must be the name of an individual candidate. See here for more details: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Swedish_general_election
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Has this been confirmed? Andersson has announced her resignation, but the new PM hasn't been elected yet.

@ManifoldMarkets Also, the Sweden Democrats got more seats than the Moderates. I don't know if that means Åkesson's in the running, but it certainly hasn't been confirmed yet.

@NcyRocks Oh, I was seeing news everywhere that the right bloc, which Kristersson leads, won the election vote. I mostly skimmed through the BBC article and saw this:

Did I incorrectly assume that winning the election doesn't = elected? Upon rechecking I noticed that there is a recount which I supposed I should have waited for as well.

@SirSaltyF2P I hadn't seen that, seems like it's more of a sure thing than I thought - I didn't realise Åkesson didn't have the support of the other minor parties. As @NiklasWiklander has said, the Prime Minister is elected by the members of the Riksdag (not the public), and they haven't had a chance to sit yet. So yeah, looks like you made an incorrect assumption that "bloc winning the election" = "prospective leader of the bloc being elected PM", but it's not as big a deal as I thought.

@ManifoldMarkets sorry I forgot about the ability to tag users.

Since this question remains unclearly worded, could we please get a clearer definition for resolution? Will the leader for the party with most votes in the election be resolved as winner, regardless of who becomes prime minister? Or will the person who becomes prime minister in the end be resolved as winner no matter how many percent of the votes they get?

@NiklasWiklander I'm pretty confident that this will resolve to whoever is Prime Minister after the election. I also don't think it's unclearly worded; this is the same wording I'd use for a New Zealand election, and we use a similar system here. Just because the PM isn't directly elected doesn't mean they aren't elected. I agree that "which parties will form a ruling coalition" or "what percentage of the vote/seats will each party get" are better questions, though.

A more reasonable question would be "Which party gets the most votes in the election" or even better "which coalition will get majority power in Sweden after the election" because there are multiple more or less likely "gangs" that sort of want to work together but don't really want to say it for fear of being associated with the terrible "Sweden democrats".

This question is not very well formulated.

In Sweden we don't really elect a person as prime minister. The votes are for a party, and the party (mostly in cooperation with some other party) decide which person will actually be prime minister.
So no one person "wins" the election. A party can theoretically win the election with >50% and that party leader will certainly become prime minister, but the last few decades hardly any party gets more than 35%.

@ManifoldMarkets Hasn't been included on preferred prime minister polls, supporting Kristersson instead
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