Will Trump administration restrict civilian airspace over a US city due to a drone-related security threat before 2027?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ10Dec 31
45%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From market creation.
Resolves YES if, before January 1, 2027, U.S. federal authorities impose a temporary closure or significant restriction of civilian airspace over a U.S. city due to a drone-related security threat.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
US Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026?
15% chance
Will the US drone strike a suspected cartel operation in Mexico before 2029?
57% chance
US Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026?
37% chance
Will drones become restricted similarly to guns in the US by 2030?
21% chance
Fatal terrorist attack via drone swarm in the West before 2026-06-18?
14% chance
Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?
14% chance
Will there be an attack on US civilians committed primarily with drones with >9 casualties before 2031?
59% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
14% chance
Will the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?
20% chance
"Trojan horse"-like drone attack on US military planes before 2028
20% chance