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MANIFOLD
If the French government faces a new no-confidence vote before July 2025, will it succeed?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ78
resolved Jul 23
Resolved
N/A

Resolves Yes if the National Assembly submits a formal no-confidence motion, debates it, and the vote passes. Resolve No if the vote fails to pass. Resolves N/A if there are zero new no-confidence votes before July, 2025.

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No vote of no confidence was held before July 2025

@ManiPart @mods creator inactive (and has been tagged below). Can resolve NO, the act that brought down Bayreus government wasn't a vote of no confidence, but a vote of confidence he failed, and that only happened 8th September, out of range for this market for up to July.

2024–2025 French political crisis - Wikipedia

@JussiVilleHeiskanen Uh, oh, ambiguous. Is a failed vote of confidence a vote of no confidence, for the purposes of the market?

@ManiPart I appear to have tagged the wrong user below, since you appear to be the market creator. In any case this timeframe is passed. One way or the other. So can resolve.

@PuckMinder I think it took a bit longer. In anycase, can be resolved.