Israel Military response against Iran when?
Basic
16
Ṁ432
Nov 21
0.8%
October 14
1.7%
October 15
3%
October 16
3%
October 17
3%
October 18
3%
October 19
15%
October 20
7%
October 21
14%
October 22
49%
October 23 or later

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel’s first military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies occurs on the day specified. Days after will not resolve yes, only the first day of attack will. Eastern Time is the time zone used.

For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

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Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
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