What will Israel strike if it responds against Iran (in 2024) following Iran’s 1st Oct 2024 missile attack on Israel.
76
2.8kṀ31k
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
YES
Iranian Military / IRGC Assets - Iranian airforce or airbases
Resolved
YES
Iranian Nuclear Programme - enrichment, storage, (including underground) etc facilities
Resolved
YES
Iranian Military Industrial Complex - factories, manufacturing facilities, companies involved
Resolved
YES
Iranian Military / IRGC Assets - Missile Forces
Resolved
YES
Iranian Military / IRGC Assets - Air Defences
Resolved
YES
Iranian Oil Infrastructure - Oil refineries, export terminals, pipelines, tankers
Resolved
NO
None (no attack on Iran itself) in 2024
Resolved
NO
Iranian Military / IRGC Assets - Naval vessels or naval bases
Resolved
NO
Iranian Energy Infrastructure - non nuclear power stations, transmission infrastructure,
Resolved
NO
Iranian Energy Infrastructure - nuclear facilities
Resolved
NO
Iranian Leadership - supreme leader, guardian council etc (civilian or religious, IRGC etc)
Resolved
NO
Iranian Diplomatic or Consular Facilities outside of Iran (Damascus, Beirut etc)
Resolved
NO
Iranian Intelligence Facilities- offices of the MOI or IRGC intelligence

Time bound to a response in 2024. No response in 2024 or responses against proxies only will resolve “none (no attack on Iran itself) in 2024”. Multiple yes resolutions are possible.

Iranian territory includes Iran and offshore islands. Update: an answer including Iranian diplomatic facilities is now an option, as many would consider this Iranian territory too.

Air defences might be air defences under any branch of the Iranian military or IRGC (including say naval air defences in a naval base), but will not resolve yes if only other platforms that include air defences (eg a warship with air defences) is struck.

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