Will an opinion for Moore vs. Harper be issued on the last day that SCOTUS issues opinions for the Oct 2022 term?
1
Ṁ50Ṁ1kresolved Jun 27
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Outstanding cases here: https://www.scotusblog.com/statistics/
Official schedule: https://www.supremecourt.gov/
Typically, controversial cases (a subset of the ones in red on SCOTUS blog) are announced later. The question is whether this case is sufficiently controversial compared with the others.
Resolves YES if an opinion for this case is announced on the same day where the final opinion of the October 2022 term is announced. Resolves NO if the opinion is announced on a prior day. Close time is the end of the month. I will extend it into July if needed. I may resolve sooner if the opinion is announced before the last day or once the final opinion is announced. I may bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ47 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027?
31% chance
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the White House Ballroom case by the end of their 2026-2027 term?
44% chance
Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice?
Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?
Will SCOTUS hear a case challenging DOJ's Dec. 2025 update on disparate impact by 2027?
54% chance
Will the Trump administration defy any SCOTUS ruling before the end of 2028?
41% chance
Will the SCOTUS make a controversial, decisive decision in the 2028 presidential election?
Will SCOTUS judges have term limits by 2028-03-23?
5% chance
Will the number of justices on the SCOTUS be increased by the end of 2028?
12% chance