Will Elon Musk buy Twitter between Jan 1st 2023 and April 24th 2023?
15
72
αΉ€370
resolved Oct 28
Resolved
NO

Twitter has an important market here asking whether Elon Musk will acquire Twitter this year: https://manifold.markets/SG/will-elon-musk-buy-twitter-this-yea

I decided to make a complement market, asking whether Twitter will be acquired by Elon Musk in 2023, until April 24th 2023, the drop dead date, when the banks commitment letters expire. Theoretically Musk could buy Twitter after that date, but I am trying to keep to the regular schedule here.

I will consider that Musk acquired Twitter the day shareholders get some amount of cash or other securities for their TWTR shares.

I will not bet on this market, although I am betting on the other one.

Close date updated to 2023-04-24 11:59 pm

Get αΉ€200 play money

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This market didn't react to the CFIUS drama?

predicted NO

@MP What do you mean? I don't think Musk has any issues with CFIUS. The SEC for sure, possibly even federal prosecutors, but not CFIUS.

@BTE You're right, it isn't known that its CFIUS. But it appeared after he went full pro-Russia.

predicted NO

@MP I don't understand what he's thinking.

bought αΉ€10 of NO

This resolves no if musk buys twitter before Jan 1st 2023 right?

@VictorLevoso It does

Deal is gonna close as soon as Friday apparently