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MANIFOLD
Will the Florida Department of Health report at least 400 cases of locally acquired Dengue fever for 2027?
1
Ṁ150Ṁ1
2028
50%
chance

Dengue fever is a mosquito-borne viral illness. The number of reported locally acquired (as opposed to imported) cases in Florida, US has been elevated in 2026 compared to previous years.

Recent locally acquired case counts:

  • 2024: 93

  • 2025: 62

  • 2026: 368 (as of 2026-10-19)

Resolves to YES if the Florida Department of Health reports at least 400 cases total of locally acquired Dengue fever for 2027, at any point between January 1st, 2027 and March 1st, 2028 (inclusive of both dates). Otherwise, resolves to NO after March 1st, 2028.

For current information on Dengue fever case counts, see: https://www.floridahealth.gov/statistics-data/population-surveillance/arbovirus-surveillance/

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