Will a paramilitary group form around the anti immigration movement in the UK in the next 6 years?
13
1kṀ11772030
27%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By paramilitary, I mean an organised, formal group similar to the Irish Republican Army (IRA). This group would be public, make public threats and carry out attacks in the name of their ideology, publicly claiming responsibility for them and having a set of demands.
There is no requirement for the size of the group, but it must last long enough to be viewed as a genuine threat to security.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be huge immigration reform in the UK before 2030? What is the political result of the 2024 election?
2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will illegal migration be above 20k per year on average in the UK?
Will total applications for asylum in the UK be higher in 2025 than in 2024?
56% chance
Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029
12% chance
By the next UK election, will a sitting MP publicly question US military presence in the UK?
22% chance
Will the british public be more Trans-supportive in 2026?
35% chance
Will White British People Become a Minority in the United Kingdom by 2060?
61% chance