I failed to get to 30 in 2024, but will give it a go in 2025. I will bet 5,000 mana at 75%.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve YES if I publish at least 30 unique Substack posts during the calendar year 2025 (January 1, 2025 - December 31, 2025).
A post counts if it is published on my personal Substack (https://luispedro.substack.com/), but not on any other venue
The market will resolve NO if:
Fewer than 30 posts are published during 2025
I delete my Substack account before the end of 2025
Posts are published but later deleted, bringing the total below 30
Considerations
This requires an average of 2.5 posts per month
Posts written in 2025 but scheduled for 2026 will not count
If my account is suspended by Substack, the market will resolve based on the number of posts published before suspension
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ4,835 | |
| 2 | Ṁ212 | |
| 3 | Ṁ38 | |
| 4 | Ṁ23 | |
| 5 | Ṁ13 |
Ongoing thread: https://x.com/luispedrocoelho/status/1876841267155386839
Right now I'm at 7/30, which is slightly below the required pace.