Will I publish 30 substacks in 2025
Basic
6
Ṁ1739
2026
81%
chance

I failed to get to 30 in 2024, but will give it a go in 2025. I will bet 5,000 mana at 75%.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if I publish at least 30 unique Substack posts during the calendar year 2025 (January 1, 2025 - December 31, 2025).

A post counts if it is published on my personal Substack (https://luispedro.substack.com/), but not on any other venue

The market will resolve NO if:

  • Fewer than 30 posts are published during 2025

  • I delete my Substack account before the end of 2025

  • Posts are published but later deleted, bringing the total below 30

Considerations

  • This requires an average of 2.5 posts per month

  • Posts written in 2025 but scheduled for 2026 will not count

  • If my account is suspended by Substack, the market will resolve based on the number of posts published before suspension

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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