Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will I publish more Substack articles in 2026 than in 2025 (58)?
9
Ṁ1kṀ636
Dec 31
69%
chance

I started posting in my Substack (https://joeandseth.substack.com/publish/home) earnestly in April of 2025, ending up at 58 posts.
I expect to have more time this year to write, as I will be continuing my semi-permanent sabbatical, aiming to finish my 48-state road trip, and spend a month or two in Japan.
This market will resolve YES if I create 59 or more new posts of 1000 words or more before Jan 1, 2026, and NO otherwise.

To incentivize myself, I reserve the right to bet YES up until the time I have 40 posts written in 2026.
Current 2026 count (as of May 20): 32

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Updating: 32 posts as of May 20. Most of these are travel posts though, half from my Japan trip alone. With my road trip wrapping up, I'm going to have to pivot back into content if I'm going to hit that target mark.

4 posts published in the first 10% of the year. Gotta pick up the pace!

bought Ṁ50 NO

Voting for NO to give you incentive. You got this!