Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026?
11
1kṀ704
2026
30%
chance

Derivative of this question, using the same criteria (except for the date):

If the linked question resolves YES at any time before the end of market close, this market resolves YES. If the market closes and the conditions for the linked question are not fulfilled, resolves NO.

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In my mind these markets are closely linked. There is so much up-and-coming young talent that if doesn't do it in two years, it's not looking good

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