Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD?
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This question resolves to YES, if either the federal government or any of the two chambers of parliament formally ask the constitutional court to ban the far-right party AfD which is currently polling at >20%.

Resolves to NO otherwise.

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https://manifold.markets/LudwigBald/if-asked-will-the-german-constituti

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Bundestag will apparently debate on the matter in the coming weeks

/marktwse/will-ovg-munster-declare-afd-suspec

seems to be a relevant step towards a ban.

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