Will US obesity decrease by more than 1% before 2030?
14
900Ṁ1731
2030
80%
chance

I am open to different sources of data on this one; I think they should agree, but I will happily argue with anyone who has a different source until we get it resolved.

More precisely, my question here is: Will the U.S. obesity rate be more than 1 percentage point lower, on Jan 1, 2030, than it was in mid-2024?

So decreases that reverse before 2030, don't count.

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