More than half of humans will be overweight or obese by end of 2035? | Manifold

More than half of humans will be overweight or obese by end of 2035?

45

1kṀ2565

2035

28%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2023/mar/02/more-than-half-of-humans-on-track-to-be-overweight-or-obese-by-2035-report

Resolves YES as soon as the number is higher, even if it subsequently goes down. Resolves NO at end of 2035. Only living humans with physical bodies count. Ages five and over.

For the purposes of the report and this market, those with a body mass index (BMI) of 25+ are judged to be overweight or obese. This market will use the 2023 definition of BMI.

Numbers from the World Obesity Atlas are preferred, as this market is based on their pseudo-prediction, as reported.

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Open this back up, what’s up?

@Predictor long term markets don't really work any more.

@MartinRandall Dang it, alright.

Long term markets don't really work any more.

Certainly not if they're closed

what they work fine

they never worked in the first place

that's what I'm saying, they work about as well as they ever did

@Predictor reopened

bought Ṁ20 NO

Have some faith in the people!

bought Ṁ10 NO

What age ranges will you resolve on? 5 and over? 20 and over?

@Tripping five and over, per linked article

predictedYES

Guessing that this question will be answered by which of the following arrives first to the global poor: abundant calories or the new GLP-1 drugs

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Will the USA's overweight or obese population surpass 80% before 2045

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Will the global prevalence of obesity peak before 2050?

More than 30% of US citizens will be on prescription drugs for weight loss by 2031

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Related questions

Will the USA's overweight or obese population surpass 80% before 2045

Will less than 30% of US adults be obese by EOY 2030?

Will US obesity be half or less of the current rate in 2050?

What will the US obesity rate be in 2030?

Will the global prevalence of obesity peak before 2050?

More than 30% of US citizens will be on prescription drugs for weight loss by 2031

Will over a billion people worldwide be living with diabetes by 2050?

Will US obesity decrease by more than 1% before 2030?

More than 10% of US citizens will be on prescription drugs for weight loss by 2031

Will I weigh more than 180 lbs at the end of FY 2025?

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