
What will be o3's score on Humanity's Last Exam?
29
1kṀ16kresolved Apr 17
100%96%
20% - 24%
0.4%
Less than 12%
0.5%
12% - 16%
1.6%
16% - 20%
1.7%
At least 24%
OpenAI has announced a model named o3. What will be the score of this model on Humanity's Last Exam (https://agi.safe.ai/)?
Resolution is based on the score given for o3 on https://agi.safe.ai/. If there are multiple scores (e.g. for "high" and "medium" reasoning), resolution is based on the highest score. If there is no score on https://agi.safe.ai/ within a month from the release of the model, I will use my best judgment.
I will trade on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ804 | |
2 | Ṁ575 | |
3 | Ṁ217 | |
4 | Ṁ186 | |
5 | Ṁ178 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Humanity's Last Exam score in 2025?
50.8
Will the best AI score on the IMO 2025 be more like AlphaProof or o3?
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 90% by what year?
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 80% by what year?
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 50% by 2029?
91% chance
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 50% by 2028?
60% chance
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 50% by 2027?
50% chance
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 60% by what year?
Will OpenAI's o4 get above 50% on humanity's last exam?
18% chance
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 70% by what year?