Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 60% by what year?
2
125Ṁ452030
41%
EOY 2026
50%
EOY 2027
66%
EOY 2028
66%
EOY 2029
76%
EOY 2030
Resolves YES for all true values, so if the score is reached in 2027 then everything except EOY 2026 will resolve YES. I will use Scale's leaderboard, or published scores from reputable sources if they're not on the leaderboard.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 90% by what year?
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 50% by 2029?
80% chance
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 80% by what year?
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 50% by 2028?
69% chance
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 70% by what year?
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 50% by 2027?
57% chance
Humanity's Last Exam score in 2025?
50.4
Before what year will Al achieve 85% or higher score on the Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark?
Before what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark?
Will Al achieve 85% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2028?
75% chance