Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 60% by what year?
6
125Ṁ3652030
89%
EOY 2026
90%
EOY 2027
92%
EOY 2028
95%
EOY 2029
96%
EOY 2030
Resolves YES for all true values, so if the score is reached in 2027 then everything except EOY 2026 will resolve YES. I will use Scale's leaderboard, or published scores from reputable sources if they're not on the leaderboard.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Humanity's Last Exam score in 2025?
56.5
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?
81% chance
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 80% by what year?
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 90% by what year?
Will Al achieve 95% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2027?
25% chance
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 70% by what year?
Will OpenAI's o4 get above 50% on humanity's last exam?
26% chance
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 50% by 2029?
94% chance
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 50% by 2028?
95% chance
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 50% by 2027?
83% chance