How many months from June 2022 will it take for Starship to reach orbit and safely land?
11
35
200
2025
29
expected
Note that if the vehicle has a RUD shortly after landing, I will resolve to that number of months iff Scott Manly says the RUD was not caused by the landing (Copied from https://manifold.markets/LivInTheLookingGlass/how-many-months-from-june-2022-will)
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ17 of HIGHER

Is this about Starship the second stage, or only about the booster landing? Does a soft splashdown in the ocean count? Does starship have to get all the way to orbit, or is a suborbital flight enough if it's pretty much equivalent to an orbital one, like they're planning for the test flight?