How many months from June 2022 will it take for Starship to reach orbit and safely land?
11
35
Ṁ287Ṁ200
2025
29
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Note that if the vehicle has a RUD shortly after landing, I will resolve to that number of months iff Scott Manly says the RUD was not caused by the landing
(Copied from https://manifold.markets/LivInTheLookingGlass/how-many-months-from-june-2022-will)
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Is this about Starship the second stage, or only about the booster landing? Does a soft splashdown in the ocean count? Does starship have to get all the way to orbit, or is a suborbital flight enough if it's pretty much equivalent to an orbital one, like they're planning for the test flight?
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