Will the number of Yes bettors exceed a random integer in [5, 20]?
33
191
640
resolved Apr 22
Resolved
YES

On 04/04/24, I will close the market. (EDIT: I missed this by a day and instead closed on 04/05; sorry!) I will then make the following call to the FairlyRandom bot exactly once.
@FairlyRandom min=5 max=20.
I will reopen the market 24 hours after the result of the call appears.
The result, x, will be used to resolve this market. (Specifically, the market will close again on 04/21/24 and resolve YES if the number of Manifold accounts with a Yes position is greater than x, and NO otherwise.)

Update: The random number 5 has been chosen, and the market will reopen for betting at noon Pacific Time. If for some reason I am not able to reopen the market at that time, I will reopen it as soon as possible after that, and will not bet on the market. If I am able to reopen the market at that exact time, I will also hold off on betting for at least ~5 minutes to be completely fair.

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The market is open again! I will not bet until 12:05 pm, so that I don't have the advantage of being the one to reopen the market.

🤖

@LinusTang your random number is: 5

Salt: nrj5u3cxh7l, round: 3897087 (signature a547c391dea394410d3f8cb505bffd2d4b8c2cbae3b68fda294fc106ed53d12bb4bd3e74e04d524166f1a44f4b9f03890f46e38ae2765c5b6d137c0d8a2530ed57c96b0c964814348dd9df5453ab00d3485060b3582707bb65fa9dcd18174347)

🤖

@LinusTang you asked for a random integer between 5 and 20, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 3897085 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 3897087, salt: nrj5u3cxh7l.

@FairlyRandom If the number does indeed come up shortly, I will reopen the market tomorrow at noon Pacific Time.

@FairlyRandom min=5 max=20

Oops, I forgot to close the market to rng yesterday. I will close the market now and rng.