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MANIFOLD
Will there be at least one manifold market with 100% clear resolution criteria by the end of June?
9
Ṁ190Ṁ2.7k
resolved Jun 8
Resolved
YES

Closes June 30, 23:59:59

Resolves YES if links to one or more markets, created at least 24 hours before closing time, and posted in this market's comment section by closing time, whose comment sections didn't contain valid claims of uncertainty about how that particular market will be resolved. Valid claims are those who clearly demonstrate by facts or logic that the outcome depends on interpretation of the market's title and description.

Resolves NO otherwise.

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predictedYES

@LeonardoKroger check out one of my recently resolved markets /MayMeta/code-golf-challenge2-can-bitshift-v

@MayMeta Beautiful. In the end, art always wins, I guess

predictedYES

I was scrolling through new markets and found this:

I feel like the resolution criteria here are 100% clear, but that may be subjective.

@evergreenemily 538 has had several concurrent models you can toggle between and I don't see specification of which model would be the one used for resolution.

Will you bet in this market or post questions in any of the linked markers?

@Joshua no to both

So what if I had a market that says "this market will resolve to yes"

@KyleWan what is your question, exactly?

@LeonardoKroger Do you believe that this would be 100% clear?

@KyleWan I believe it would, others might disagree and claim uncertainty

Valid claims are those who clearly demonstrate by facts or logic that the outcome depends on interpretation of the market's title and description.

do you mean do NOT depend ?

@Odoacre a market's clear resolution criteria make claims of uncertainty unnecessary or invalid. In order to demonstrate that the resolution criteria are not clear, the outcome must be shown to be dependent on interpretation.

@LeonardoKroger oh I see, you mean claims of uncertainty

Here's one:

@evergreenemily the title says "will there be", so I'm not going to consider historical markets.