Will 538 correctly predict the winner of the 2024 presidential election?
30
1kṀ3702
resolved Nov 7
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if 538 releases a presidential election model and if the candidate who the model assigns the greatest chance of winning wins the election. Resolves N/A if no model is released.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ467
2Ṁ261
3Ṁ159
4Ṁ121
5Ṁ107
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy