In situational awareness, Leopold Aschenbrenner writes:

“Reports suggest OpenAI was at a $1B revenue run rate in August 2023, and a $2B revenue run rate in February 2024. That’s roughly a doubling every 6 months. If that trend holds, we should see a ~$10B annual run rate by late 2024/early 2025, even without pricing in a massive surge from any next-generation model.”

Since the revenue run rate is likely an important influence in decisions to invest in upcoming AI generations, this question asks when the $10B revenue run rate will be exceeded by OpenAI.