
What will be the first year OpenAI makes a net profit?
18
1.4kṀ25032035
16%
2029
12%
2028
10%
2030
10%
2027
10%
8%
2032
7%
2031
7%
2033
7%
They never have a profitable year
6%
2026
4%
2024
4%
2025
This isn't about gross revenue, it's revenue minus all expenses.
Resolves when official financial reporting is available, showing their revenue minus expenses was positive for OpenAI, in any year. Resolves that year to "Yes" and all other options to "No".
We can add more years if they are still running but haven't made a profit yet.
If they go out of business first, then we resolve to "They never have a profitable year".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will OpenAI make a profit in 2024?
3% chance
Will OpenAI make a profit in 2025?
10% chance
Will OpenAI have $1 billion in revenue in 2025?
99% chance
Will OpenAI have revenues of at least $5 billion (ARR) by the end of year 2025?
96% chance
Will OpenAI have $2 billion annual revenue in 2025?
98% chance
OpenAI to become a for-profit by EOY?
4% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2027?
89% chance
Will OpenAI reach $12B annualized revenue by end of 2025?
79% chance
When will OpenAI’s revenue run rate exceed $10B?
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2030?
93% chance