
Which space agencies or private companies will successfully land humans on Mars by 2030?๐
25
1kแน40112031
13%
SpaceX
9%
NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration)
3%
CNSA (China National Space Administration)
2%
ESA (European Space Agency)
2%
Blue Origin
1.4%
Boeing
The question will resolve as "YES" for each space agency or private company that successfully lands humans on Mars before the end of 2030.
If multiple agencies or companies achieve this independently or through a collaboration, each will be resolved as "YES" individually.
The successful landing is defined by a human crew safely reaching the surface of Mars and conducting at least one extravehicular activity (EVA) or surface operation.
The resolution will be based on official announcements and confirmations from the respective agencies or credible space exploration authorities.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will any human successfully land on Mars by 2030?
10% chance
Will we land on Mars by 2030?
4% chance
Will there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ?
39% chance
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?
50% chance
Will there be a successful manned mission to Mars by 2030?
9% chance
Will a human mission successfully land on Mars before the end of 2035?
29% chance
Will a manned mission to Mars be officially announced by a government space agency by 2030?
41% chance
Will humans successfully land on Mars within the next 30 years?
70% chance
What organization will be the first to land a human on Mars?
Will SpaceX successfully land a crewed mission on Mars by the end of 2025?
2% chance