Will Alexandra Elbakyan (creator of Sci-Hub) ever receive a Nobel Prize?

1kṀ1041

2090

chance

ALL

This market resolves to YES if Alexandra Elbakyan ever receives any one of the conventional Nobel Prizes, or the Nobel Peace Prize.

Science

Nobel Prizes

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will Alexandra Elbakyan (Founder of Sci-Hub) enter the US or US Territory before 2043?

30% chance

Will Katalin Karikó Win a Nobel Prize in 2025?

3% chance

Will any ai/ml researcher win a nobel prize in 2025?

20% chance

Will Katalin Karikó Win a Nobel Prize in 2027?

6% chance

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

7% chance

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

43% chance

Will an AI receive an IgNobel Prize in 2025?

29% chance

Will Katalin Karikó Win a Nobel Prize in 2026?

4% chance

Will lada nuzhna ever win a nobel prize

16% chance

Will Taylor Swift ever win a Nobel Prize?

Sort by:

GOAT

She deserves one but I'm holding NO

When does it resolve NO? Only when she dies?

@Yev I set it to resolve when she’s 100. Long term market, runs til she gets the award or dies.

@LarsDoucet (thanks for taking the time to answer the question. I would normally express this as a tip, but since tips are gone, I have to use words)

@Yev You could subsidize the market

People are also trading

Will Alexandra Elbakyan (Founder of Sci-Hub) enter the US or US Territory before 2043?

30% chance

Will Katalin Karikó Win a Nobel Prize in 2025?

3% chance

Will any ai/ml researcher win a nobel prize in 2025?

20% chance

Will Katalin Karikó Win a Nobel Prize in 2027?

6% chance

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

7% chance

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

43% chance

Will an AI receive an IgNobel Prize in 2025?

29% chance

Will Katalin Karikó Win a Nobel Prize in 2026?

4% chance

Will lada nuzhna ever win a nobel prize

16% chance

Will Taylor Swift ever win a Nobel Prize?

9% chance

People are also trading

People are also trading

Related questions