Resolution criteria

• This market will resolve to YES if Alan Guth is officially announced as a recipient of a Nobel Prize (in Physics or any other category) during his lifetime.

• This market will resolve to NO if Alan Guth passes away without having been announced as a Nobel Prize recipient.

• The primary source of truth for this market is the official Nobel Prize website (https://www.nobelprize.org).

Background

• Alan Guth (born February 27, 1947) is an American theoretical physicist and cosmologist. He is widely recognized as the originator of the theory of cosmic inflation, which he proposed in 1980 to describe the rapid exponential expansion of the early universe.

• Guth currently serves as the Victor Weisskopf Professor of Physics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT).

• While cosmic inflation is a cornerstone of modern cosmology, Guth has not yet received a Nobel Prize. He has, however, received several other major scientific honors for this work, including the Dirac Medal (2002), the Breakthrough Prize in Fundamental Physics (2012), and the Kavli Prize in Astrophysics (2014, shared with Andrei Linde and Alexei Starobinsky).

• Under Nobel Foundation statutes established in 1974, the Nobel Prize cannot be awarded posthumously. Because of this rule, the period during which he can be awarded the prize is limited to his lifetime.

This description was generated by AI.