What will the "approval rating" of GPT/OpenAI be among "The Right Wing" of the USA at the end of 2023?
11
470Ṁ254
Jan 1
34
expected

At the end of the year I will look for the closest metric that captures the spirit of this market. Examples would be:

  • A Gallup poll that asks registered Republicans & Democrats whether they approve/disapprove of OpenAI

  • An independent survey that asks people whether they approve/disapprove of GPT specifically, and buckets them by left/right political affiliation

  • OpenAI, GPT, or Sam Altman, or LLM's in general, will all qualify as subject matter (but NOT some other specific major LLM alone)

"Right Wing" will be defined as whatever is best available in the qualifying studies/surveys/polls. Examples include:

  • Registered Republicans

  • Self-identified Republicans

  • "Conservatives"

  • Self-identified as being on the right

Basically anything that generally means "right of center."

Or anything else sufficiently similar. Resolves N/A if I can't find anything like that at the end of the year. At the end of the year I will take the latest available qualifying metric, such as a poll published in November 2023, for instance. If there's multiple qualifying metrics published within a reasonably close time period, I will average their results.

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