What percentage of 2025 will be left when OpenAI releases GPT-5?
2
100Ṁ122026
44%
chance
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This resolves to the percentage of the year left when OpenAI releases GPT-5. For example, if it is announced at 00:01 on the 31st of December, 1 day will remain out of 365, so this would resolve to (1/365) = 0.27%.
If it is not released in 2025, this resolves to 0%.
This is for a relatively public release of any form. Access only through ChatGPT or only through the API would count.
Here is the question for announcedment rather than release:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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