What percentage of 2025 will be left when OpenAI announces GPT-5?
3
100Ṁ52Dec 31
44%
chance
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This resolves to the percentage of the year left when OpenAI announces GPT-5. .For example, if it is announced at 00:01 on the 31st of December, 1 day will remain out of 365, so this would resolve to (1/365) = 0.27%.
If it is not released in 2025, this resolves to 0%.
This is just for announcement, not for public release. The December 2024 announcement of o3 would count if a similar one were made for GPT-5.
Here is the question for release rather than announcement:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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