If an AI winter happens before 2030, what is the most likely reason for it?
Plus
22
Ṁ5442031
25%
Lawsuits & civil disputes
21%
Legislation/treaties
3%
Economic crash
12%
War
0.2%
Sabotage
39%
Natural limits / diminishing returns
0.2%
Something else
Multiple choice. Assuming an AI winter happens before resolution, which of these scenarios is most likely to bring it about?
Resolves N/A if an AI winter doesn't happen.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
7% chance
Will an AI winter happen by 2030?
37% chance
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
40% chance
Are we about to hit another AI winter?
11% chance
Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?
33% chance
If the progress of AI experiences a slowdown before 2030, what might be the cause?
Will there be an AI Winter between 2022 and 2026?
29% chance
Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2030?
65% chance
Will there be a massive catastrophe caused by AI before 2030?
47% chance
Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?
20% chance