Will manifold ban permanent markets by the end of 2023?
18
64
แน€370
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

While the criteria are somewhat different, this is intended to act as a somewhat narrowed and extended version of https://manifold.markets/L/will-manifold-trial-in-2022-any-new

Get แน€1,000 play money

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€48
2แน€17
3แน€11
4แน€7
5แน€3
Sort by:

How does this resolve if they convert permanent binary markets to stocks and ban permanent binary markets?

bought แน€121 of NO

If this happens I would be very unhappy. Many of my markets are "this doesn't resolve until X happens", where X is something that likely won't happen for 50+ years or might never happen.

@IsaacKing I don't think that counts as Permanent. A Permanent market is a market can not resolve, and your example might never resolve.

@Yev I agree that that doesn't count. I think this market only refers to permanent stock markets.

I'd hope that it will - it seems to me that permanent markets are being used as "stocks", which are a form of intentionally baseless prediction about a thing's "abstract value".

predicted NO

@L Just because a market is addressing an ill-posed question doesn't mean it should be banned. Part of the idea behind Manifold is that people can decide for themselves which markets are good and worth participating in.

@SG but how do I decide which markets the money bet on my market may have come from?

bought แน€100 of NO

@L you dont?
for all you know, some rich oil baron / casino operator / tabacco company exec could join manifold tomorrow and bet in all your markets, and you'd have no recourse except to profit off their irrationality ๐Ÿ˜ฑ


money is fungible.

Will manifold ban permanent markets by the end of 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition