Which will be voted the most important prediction ever listed on Manifold in 2030?
3
175Ṁ832029
69%
Resolved by a poll "What is the most important prediction ever listed on Manifold?" taken in 2030.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?
82% chance
At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
66% chance
Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?
68% chance
What decade will be considered the decade of the most rapid technological progress in 2040 by Manifold?
Will there be an official Manifold cryptocurrency by 2030?
14% chance
5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2025 predict correctly?
72% chance
In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?
33% chance
Who will have created the most new markets in Manifold in 2023 - integrated across all of 2023?
What will be the 2024 Manifold Market of the Year?
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?
66% chance
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?
82% chance
5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2025 predict correctly?
72% chance
At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
66% chance
In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?
33% chance
Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?
68% chance
Who will have created the most new markets in Manifold in 2023 - integrated across all of 2023?
What decade will be considered the decade of the most rapid technological progress in 2040 by Manifold?
What will be the 2024 Manifold Market of the Year?
Will there be an official Manifold cryptocurrency by 2030?
14% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?
66% chance