By when will the Whitehouse acknowledge the existence of non-human intelligence?
4
2kṀ500
2100
40%
Jan 1st 2050
26%
Jan 1st 2030
20%
Jan 1st 2029
20%
Jan 1st 2028
9%
Jan 1st 2027
3%
Jan 1st 2026

If the Whitehouse officially acknowledges that non-human intelligence exists and has been kept hidden from the public (official disclosure) all future dates will resolve "yes".

As dates pass in the absence of official public acknowledgement, they will resolve "no".

  • Update 2025-09-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For this market, non-human intelligence means intelligent life not created by modern human technology.

    • A Yes includes official Whitehouse acknowledgement of: aliens (extraterrestrial, interdimensional, oceanic), angels, ancient artificial intelligence not created by modern humans, or a hidden fork of biological life.

    • Recognition or rights granted to intelligence produced by modern AI research does not qualify.

    • The acknowledgement must state that such intelligence exists and has been intentionally kept from the public.

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Does only life from other planets count or would giving AI rights otherwise reserved for intelligent beings count a well?

@AlexanderTheGreater This question is referring to the claims of non-human intelligence being discussed in the numerous UAP disclosure congressional hearings.

For the purposes of this prediction, non-human intelligence refers to intelligent life that has not been created by modern human technology.

Aliens from another planet, deep space, the ocean, or another dimension would cause a "yes" resolution. As would the acknowledgement of angels, ancient artificial intelligence, or a hidden fork of biological life.

In general, the acknowledgement from the Whitehouse would have to convey to the public that the existence of an advanced intelligence has been intentionally kept from the public to prevent ontological shock.

Intelligence produced from modern artificial intelligence research would not qualify a "yes" resolution.

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