when will the Ukraine war stop?
Basic
19
Ṁ18282028
2027
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves after it is generally agreed upon, that the Ukraine war has reached a permanent ceasefire or if there has been no ongoing military action for at least 6 month even if it is not clear that the war is over.
There does not need to be a peace agreement.
will resolve to max if the war did not stop by 2028.
right now the expected value is 2023.9 so that equals to day 320 of 2023.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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