Will Egyptians "be starving within a decade," as Spandrell predicts? | Manifold

Will Egyptians "be starving within a decade," as Spandrell predicts?

10

240Ṁ390

2034

12%

chance

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6H

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https://twitter.com/spandrell4/status/1767961849612612081

Resolves yes if over 5% of the Egyptian population has died of starvation within any year long interval.

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Is there an articulated thesis behind this or is it just a typical Twitter hot take?

bought Ṁ10 YES

@voodoo I think It’s because the Ethiopians are building a dam on the Nile

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