Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035?
16
51
330
2035
50%
chance

Resolves YES if I see evidence of revolutions, protests, constitutional changes, etc. on the scale of the Arab Spring in at 3 least Middle East or North African countries within the span of 1 year. Otherwise resolves NO.

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Israel is an interesting potentially qualifying country.

@Yoav Iran too.

‘Largest protests yet’: Masses around country rally against curbing of judiciary: https://www.timesofisrael.com/largest-protests-yet-masses-around-country-rally-against-curbing-of-justice-system/amp/