Will the Apple Vision Pro be successful enough to revive interest in mixed reality and the metaverse?
680
4.6kแน85kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
[This is Casey's low-confidence prediction from the 12/22/23 episode of Hard Fork]
This market will resolve to yes if the Apple Vision Pro is a success at reviving interest in mixed reality and the metaverse by December 31, 2024 using some resolution criteria I'm not sure about. (This is Kevin writing the prediction, ask Casey how he'll resolve it!)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน1,128 | |
| 2 | แน800 | |
| 3 | แน637 | |
| 4 | แน573 | |
| 5 | แน568 |
People are also trading
Related questions
How much will the VR market grow as a result of Apple Vision Pro
Will Apple release another Vision product in 2025?
45% chance
Will Vision Pro, and other Apple headset models be priced at less than $1,500 by 2025?
12% chance
Will Vision Pro, and other Apple headset models be priced at less than $1,000 by 2025?
12% chance
Will Apple announce a Vision Pro 2 by the end of 2025?
23% chance
Will Apple still be developing the Vision Pro (or successor) after 2030?
81% chance
Will >50% of the US population own a Vision Pro or other mixed reality headset in 2028?
10% chance
Will Vision Pro, and other Apple headset models, generate more than $5B revenue in 2025?
10% chance
Will Apple release an accessory that converts the iPhone into a VR/AR headset (VisionPro) by end of 2026? [~3 years]
13% chance
Will Apple release an accessory that converts the iPhone into a VR/AR headset (VisionPro) by end of 2028? (~5 years)
21% chance