Will an AR/VR product from Apple overtake iPhones 10 years after Vision Pro's launch?
Basic
3
Ṁ462034
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will resolve this if I subjectively determine that Apple has a different product which is more popular/useful than an iPhone in 2034, 10 years after Vision Pro launch. I predicted YES at launch, but pretty sure that's not true anymore.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Apple Vision Pro be successful enough to revive interest in mixed reality and the metaverse?
12% chance
Will Apple sell 500,000 units of Vision Pro in 2024?
8% chance
Will Apple sell X units of "Vision Pro" by the end of 2024? (worldwide)
How much will the VR market grow as a result of Apple Vision Pro
Will Apple sell more than 500k Vision Pro headsets before January 20th, 2025?
16% chance
Will Apple release an accessory that converts the iPhone into a VR/AR headset (VisionPro) by end of 2028? (~5 years)
21% chance
Will Apple release another Vision product in 2025?
74% chance
Will Vision Pro, and other Apple headset models, generate more than $1B revenue in 2024?
79% chance
Will someone die while wearing Apple's Vision Pro by the end of 2025?
39% chance
Will Apple announce a Vision Pro 2 by the end of 2025?
31% chance