As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union.

Plus

Ṁ2226

2028

22%

chance

ALL

Will resolve YES if any US state declares independence or secession from the United States, even if it is unsuccessful due to military action or otherwise.

Will resolve NO if all current states are still part of the union on market close. This includes scenarios where states merge.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#United States

#US Democracy

#US State Government

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* Wall Street, Silicon Valley, Hollywood, ports, military on one side

* Main Street, abundant farmland, national parks, well-regulated militias on the other

* Ranked Choice Voting, reformed Congress with proportional representation, path to citizenship, advanced fiscal & monetary policy, green economy North of the line

* Libertarian utopia rooted in constitutional values South of the line

I honestly think a supermajority of Americans will be for this soon

Question title is phrased a little weirdly: suggests that it starts at November 2028. I would use "before November 7th, 2028 (election day)"

Market closes on the first of november and is not specifically tied to election day.

predicts NO

@RiledPassenger is just begging Texas to do something stupid rn

I assume you mean ‘secede’.

@NicoDelon And 'secession'

@father And ‘independence’ while we’re at it.

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