
Will more than 5000 people die in a conflict between Israel and Hezbollah/Lebanon during 2024?
24
210į¹2073resolved Jan 4
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
š Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | į¹192 | |
| 2 | į¹122 | |
| 3 | į¹91 | |
| 4 | į¹86 | |
| 5 | į¹64 |
Sort by:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/IsraelāHezbollah_conflict_(2023āpresent)
Total casualties are ~4200 and this also includes 2023, so in 2024 it was even less, but surely more than 1000 (most of the casualties were in the fall of 2024).
@Keepcalmandchill please resolve.
People are also trading
Related questions
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire breaks with 100+ killed in a week before December 2025?
10% chance
Will over 5000 Gazans be killed by the IDF in 2026?
64% chance
Will Israel and Hezbollah have a major war before January 1st, 2030?
15% chance
Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?
6% chance
Will over 1000 Gazans be killed by the IDF in 2026?
62% chance