Will more than 5000 people die in a conflict between Israel and Hezbollah/Lebanon during 2024?
Basic
24
Ṁ2073resolved Jan 4
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ192 | |
2 | Ṁ122 | |
3 | Ṁ91 | |
4 | Ṁ86 | |
5 | Ṁ64 |
Sort by:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel–Hezbollah_conflict_(2023–present)
Total casualties are ~4200 and this also includes 2023, so in 2024 it was even less, but surely more than 1000 (most of the casualties were in the fall of 2024).
@Keepcalmandchill please resolve.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the death toll in the current Israel-Palestinian conflict reach 100,000?
24% chance
Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
6% chance
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?
10% chance
Will Israel and Hezbollah have a major war before January 1st, 2030?
7% chance
Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?
7% chance