Will Captopril significantly extend the lifespan of UM-HET3 mice tested by the NIA’s Interventions Testing Program? (Cohort 13: C2017)
10
1kṀ82
2032
32%
chance
...treatments that can decelerate the rate of aging are the only available path to significantly increase human lifespan going forward. Before drugs and treatments can be considered for larger clinical studies in humans, pilot trials in rodents must be performed as a necessary prerequisite. This is why the National Institute on Aging established the Interventions Testing Program which “is a multi-institutional study investigating treatments with the potential to extend lifespan and delay disease and dysfunction in mice”. So far it is the largest systematic effort to test potentially life-extending compounds in mice that has been performed. This is an attempt to give the biogerontology community, interested experts and laypeople an opportunity to predict outcomes of this important experiment. See also: http://biogerontolgy.blogspot.com/2022/02/a-prediction-market-for-nias-mouse.html
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Do we know the correct resolution for this market?

predictedNO

Recommended resolution: No.

See tables 2 & 3 here: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/acel.13724.

predictedNO

@StephenMalina should have said table 1...

Related questions

Will 1,3-butanediol significantly extend the lifespan of UM-HET3 mice tested by the NIA’s Interventions Testing Program? (Cohort 13: C2017)
32% chance
Will Aubrey de Grey's 2022 Robust Mouse Rejuvenation Project "succeed" in its aims of finding an intervention that increases both mean and maximum lifespan of mice by at least 12 months?
21% chance
What will be the next compound produced and tested by the ITP that will be shown to have a statistically significant effect on both median and 90th percentile lifespan?
Will a study show that the combination of parabiosis + genetic reprogramming will improve lifespan more than either intervention alone by 2035?
43% chance
By 2030, will any treatment be shown to increase human lifespan in a randomized controlled trial?
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules