Conditional on Trump getting/not getting Peace Nobel, land conflict with Venezuela before midnight Christmas Eve 2025?
18
100Ṁ694
Dec 24
0.7%
Trump Wins Peace Nobel, no land conflict with Venezuela
2%
Trump Wins Peace Nobel, land conflict with Venezuela
53%
No Peace Nobel for Trump, land conflict with Venezuela
45%
No Peace Nobel for Trump, no land conflict with Venezuela

Any strikes or troops on Venezuela land territory counts.

US Politics
Politics
Trump
Venezuela
Armed Conflicts
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I find the results very interesting so far. It would seem that people would evaluate these two things to be largely independent events...

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