Conditional on Trump getting/not getting Peace Nobel, land conflict with Venezuela before midnight Christmas Eve 2025?
29
100Ṁ1215
Dec 24
0.5%
Trump Wins Peace Nobel, no land conflict with Venezuela
0.4%
Trump Wins Peace Nobel, land conflict with Venezuela
5%
No Peace Nobel for Trump, land conflict with Venezuela
94%
No Peace Nobel for Trump, no land conflict with Venezuela

Any strikes or troops on Venezuela land territory counts.

US Politics
Trump
Politics
Venezuela
Armed Conflicts
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I find the results very interesting so far. It would seem that people would evaluate these two things to be largely independent events...

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