Trump approval rating 44.1% or higher on October 1st?
75
1kṀ12kOct 1
26%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market will resolve to YES if 44.1% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated October 1st, 2025 on Nate Silver's approval tracker located here at Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin
Notes:
Data will be checked within 24 hours after market close.
If the approval dips below 44.1% at some point, but rises back above by October 1st, the market will still resolve to YES.
In the unlikely event that the Silver Bulletin tracker is no longer available or updated, the RCP tracker here will be used as a substitute: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
28% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
56% chance
When will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
24% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
2% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
2% chance
Trump net approval rating at EOY2025?
-9.9
If Donald Trump becomes the next president, what will his approval rating be a year after assuming office?
41% chance
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
34% chance
Will Trump set a new record low approval rating this year? [Below 34.0% on Silver Bulletin]
9% chance