Market will resolve to YES if 43.1% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated November 1st, 2025 on Nate Silver's approval tracker located here at Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin
Notes:
Previous market closed at approval rating of 43.1%.
Data will be checked within 24 hours after market close.
If the approval dips below 43.1% at some point, but rises back above by November 1st, the market will still resolve to YES.
In the unlikely event that the Silver Bulletin tracker is no longer available or updated, the RCP tracker here will be used as a substitute: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ26,101 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1,921 | |
| 3 | Ṁ1,877 | |
| 4 | Ṁ1,259 | |
| 5 | Ṁ698 |
People are also trading
@brod right, i bet the trick is to get the order right. sometimes i buy high and then sell low and end up crying.
PSA: This market is about the finalized poll standing, as reported by the Silver Bulletin, for Nov 1st, not at the exact moment the month changes.
As per description, this market is only going to close at 23:59GMT Nov. 1st, AFTER which the date will be checked within 24 hours. Thus, there's still >32 hours between this moment and the final reading that resolves this market.
I advise you not to get ahead of yourselves, as anything could still happen. We are easily within the margin of a single poll switching this market around. It would be a shame to have to fight over the resolution, since the criteria is very clearly defined in the market description.
@traders Anyone want to get spicy with just over a week to go? One order is up, perhaps more tomorrow!