Trump approval rating 43.1% or higher on November 1st?
134
1kṀ78k
Nov 1
85%
chance

Market will resolve to YES if 43.1% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated November 1st, 2025 on Nate Silver's approval tracker located here at Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin

Notes:

  • Previous market closed at approval rating of 43.1%.

  • Data will be checked within 24 hours after market close.

  • If the approval dips below 43.1% at some point, but rises back above by November 1st, the market will still resolve to YES.

  • In the unlikely event that the Silver Bulletin tracker is no longer available or updated, the RCP tracker here will be used as a substitute: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating

US Politics
Politics
Trump
Trump's Second Term
Republican Party
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Can someone explain why his approval rating is way higher than his first-term ratings?

@ItsMe lead poisoning

opened a Ṁ10,000 NO at 33% order

10k NO up at 33%

@dgga Want to wager?

opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 71% order

@dgga Big order up at 71%

@Panfilo I'm gonna look into it later today (no idea what polls are due this month). Might take it.

the shutdown

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