Multiple media reports have indicated that Joe Rogan and Donald Trump plan to film for the Joe Rogan Experience podcast later this week. Manifold markets are also showing a 99% chance of the appearance occurring.
This market is for prop bets on the entire episode with Joe Rogan published on the PowerfulJRE channel on YouTube.
General Rules:
Add your own answers, but please be as clear and objective as possible. Try to avoid answers that are vibes-based, too difficult to track or resolve, or ones that are too obvious (if they'll definitely resolve Yes or No).
For swift resolution, add proof or timestamps in your comment. Reply as a comment on the option you want resolved to make resolution clearer.
Close date is set for late Saturday. The Trump episode is expected to be filmed on Friday, and presumably released shortly after prior to the election. If the podcast is not released by end of November, all answers will resolve to No. I will close market early if I I confirm the podcast has been released. Please tag me if you see this happen.
For words/mentions, the following apply:
The exact word or sequence of words must be said without any differences, except for the following rules:
Plurals (e.g., "cat" and "cats") are considered equivalent.
Possessives, e.g. "Trump's" counts as an instance of "Trump" (but not vice versa)
Contractions count the same as the words they represent e.g., "don't" is equivalent to "do not"
Some examples of words which are not considered the same (not an exhaustive list!)
Abbreviations, e.g. USA is not the same as "United States of America"
Verb tenses, e.g. running vs ran are not the same
Other word forms like America and American are not the same
Parts of words, e.g. "Obamacare" does not count as an instance of "Obama"
Additional notes for clarity:
Any usage counts regardless of context.
Different meanings of a word, e.g. Apple the company or apple the fruit count as the same word
Different capitalizations e.g., "Apple" and "apple" are counted as the same word.
Different spellings of a word due to regional variations are counted as the same word (e.g., "color" and "colour," "organize" and "organise")
It's a verbal conversation so this shouldn't matter but just for clarity. E.g. in case someone spells the word out, the spelling wouldn't matter.
Special thanks to @shankypanky whose Trump-Fridman market description I have largely copied from.
@traders I have resolved everything I was able to find evidence for to YES. Very possible I missed something though given the length here, so please comment with a timestamp for anything unresolved that you believe should be YES. Iโll wait a day for any potential claims before resolving the remaining as NO afterwards. Thanks for playing everyone!