Lex Fridman + Bernie Sanders Podcast [PROP BETS -- ADD ANSWERS!]
Basic
10
แน€458
Oct 26
34%
Video has more than 2 million views after 1 week
Resolved
YES
Conversation is longer than 60 minutes
Resolved
YES
2016 primary discussed
Resolved
YES
Anyone says "Hillary"

Popular podcaster Lex Fridman has tweeted that he will soon be interviewing current US Senator and former Presidential Candidate Bernie Sanders.

This market is for prop bets on a conversation with Bernie Sanders published on the Lex Fridman channel on YouTube. Content of Lex's introduction does not count.

General Rules:

Add your own answers, but please be as clear and objective as possible. Try to avoid answers that are vibes-based, too difficult to track or resolve, or ones that are too obvious (if they'll definitely resolve Yes or No).

For swift resolution, add proof or timestamps in your comment. Reply as a comment on the option you want resolved to make resolution clearer.

Close date is set for one week from now. The Trump episode was released 6 days after a similar tweet. If the podcast is not released by end of November, all answers will resolve to No. I will close market as soon as I confirm the podcast has been released.

For words/mentions, the following apply:

The exact word or sequence of words must be said without any differences, except for the following rules:

  • Plurals (e.g., "cat" and "cats") are considered equivalent.

  • Possessives, e.g. "Trump's" counts as an instance of "Trump" (but not vice versa)

  • Contractions count the same as the words they represent e.g., "don't" is equivalent to "do not"

Some examples of words which are not considered the same (not an exhaustive list!)

  • Abbreviations, e.g. USA is not the same as "United States of America"

  • Verb tenses, e.g. running vs ran are not the same

  • Other word forms like America and American are not the same

  • Parts of words, e.g. "Obamacare" does not count as an instance of "Obama"

Additional notes for clarity:

  • Any usage counts regardless of context.

  • Different meanings of a word, e.g. Apple the company or apple the fruit count as the same word

  • Different capitalizations e.g., "Apple" and "apple" are counted as the same word.

  • Different spellings of a word due to regional variations are counted as the same word (e.g., "color" and "colour," "organize" and "organise")

    • It's a verbal conversation so this shouldn't matter but just for clarity. E.g. in case someone spells the word out, the spelling wouldn't matter.

Special thanks to @shankypanky whose Trump-Fridman market description I have largely copied from.

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sold แน€1 Bernie says "radical... YES

Resolved everything except for view count, which will be determined later. The only ambiguous option was "2020 primary discussed". It was given a passing mention while discussing 2016, but the bulk of the primary discussion focused on 2016. I've resolved to NO given the word

'discussed' was used, not 'mentioned'. Nobody traded YES on this option either, even after the episode released, so it would seem there is agreement on this.

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