[Megamarket] 80,000 Hours podcast in 2024 prop bets

Basic

Ṁ2936

Jan 1

47%

≥35 episodes in 2024

29%

Other host than Rob or Luisa

46%

≥3 guests with Rethink Priorities as main employer at time of recording

Episode with Sam Altman

17%

Paid sponsorship featured in an episode

70%

Episode length of ≥4h00m

46%

Episode with Zachary Robinson

17%

≥3 guests with Open Philanthropy as main employer at time of recording

11%

"Rationalussy" in the official transcript

84%

Guest with Anthropic as main employer at time of recording

35%

Pre-interview introduction mentions "Ukraine"

12%

Guest with Manifold as main employer at time of recording

48%

Episode that can be said to have forecasting as its main topic (in a broad sense, rather than e.g. AI timelines)

27%

Episode with Holden Karnofsky

22%

Episode with Will MacAskill

35%

Guest with OpenAI as main employer at time of recording

17%

Episode with @EliezerYudkowsky

30%

Episode with Niel Bowerman (80k CEO)

35%

Episode that can be said to have the US 2024 election as its main topic

34%

Guest born in Africa

After Hours episodes don't count.
Only concerns episodes released in 2024.
Things that have already happened before this market's creation are admitted.
Insider trading allowed
As per the official webpage feed (unlike RSS podcast feed) "Classic episode" reposts do not count

For dates, lengths, etc, I will go with whatever's stated on the official webpage.

For any proof, it would be great if you could provide link and timestamp, or transcript, where applicable, for confirmation.
I reserve the right to remove, N/A, and/or clarify descriptions, as I see fit.

I will not trade in this market, to be able to better rule on subjective judgments.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Podcasts

#Effective Altruism

#80,000 Hours

Get

1,000

and

3.00

4 Comments

25 Holders

119 Trades