[Megamarket] 80,000 Hours podcast in 2024 prop bets

Effective Altruism•Podcasts•80,000 Hours

174

Ṁ1.9K

Ṁ1.8K

2025

ALL

34%

≥35 episodes in 2024

49%

Other host than Rob or Luisa

54%

≥3 guests with Rethink Priorities as main employer at time of recording

Episode with Sam Altman

27%

Paid sponsorship featured in an episode

43%

Episode length of ≥4h00m

67%

Episode with Zachary Robinson

66%

≥3 guests with Open Philanthropy as main employer at time of recording

12%

"Rationalussy" in the official transcript

80%

Guest with Anthropic as main employer at time of recording

44%

Pre-interview introduction mentions "Ukraine"

13%

Guest with Manifold as main employer at time of recording

54%

Episode that can be said to have forecasting as its main topic (in a broad sense, rather than e.g. AI timelines)

44%

Episode with Holden Karnofsky

41%

Episode with Will MacAskill

48%

Guest with OpenAI as main employer at time of recording

35%

Episode with @EliezerYudkowsky

41%

Episode with Niel Bowerman (80k CEO)

59%

Episode that can be said to have the US 2024 election as its main topic

50%

Guest born in Africa

After Hours episodes don't count.
Only concerns episodes released in 2024.
Things that have already happened before this market's creation are admitted.
Insider trading allowed
As per the official webpage feed (unlike RSS podcast feed) "Classic episode" reposts do not count

For dates, lengths, etc, I will go with whatever's stated on the official webpage.

For any proof, it would be great if you could provide link and timestamp, or transcript, where applicable, for confirmation.
I reserve the right to remove, N/A, and/or clarify descriptions, as I see fit.

I will not trade in this market, to be able to better rule on subjective judgments.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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21 days with no episode released

bought Ṁ1,000 21 days with no epis... YES

26 days have passed since #183 with Spencer Greenberg.