Who will become the 47th (the next) President of the USA?
Plus
115
แน35k2030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
50%
Kamala Harris
49%
Donald Trump
According to https://www.whitehouse.gov/about-the-white-house/presidents/.
Donald Trump is 45th so he can theoretically become the 47th as well.
Joe Biden is 46th so he can't become the 47th.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Donald Trump
Yes, but if Trump wins in 2024 he'll also be considered the 47th President. So we have to add the probability of Trump winning (let's say 50%) with the chance of him running and winning in 2028, which may be small but is nonzero. Personally, I think Trump should be at 55-60% based on this
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the 47th president of United States of America?
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
๐บ๐ธ Will Donald Trump be the 47th president of the U.S.A.?
50% chance
Who will be the 48th president of the United States?
Who will win the 2024 United States Presidential Election?
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Who will become the 48th (the next next) President of the USA?
Will Trump be the next president?
50% chance
Who will be elected president in 2028?
Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden?